With
the start of camp rapidly approaching (August 1), Miami Dolphins first round
pick Vontae Davis remains unsigned. This seems to be the norm across the NFL, with
only 4 of the 32 first rounders under contract as of this writing.
So
no worries, right?
Wrong.
Agents
typically rely on the contracts of players drafted above and below their
clients to help set the parameters for a deal in terms of salary, bonus, and
term.
As
of this writing, the closest signed player to Davis
is Cleveland�s
Alex Mack (#21). Mack is a center. Davis,
taken 25th, is a cornerback. This means that setting comparables off
of Mack�s contract would be a bit of a reach.
With
so many players still unsigned just days away from the start of training camp,
it is difficult to see how the right chips will fall into place in time for Davis to avoid a holdout.
But
there�s more to consider here.
With
the NFL�s labor situation on the brink of potential chaos, agents could be
posturing for terms that will best serve their clients should the rules of the
game be turned on their proverbial ear. Remember that, in May of 2008, owners
decided to opt out of the current Collective Bargaining Agreement. This would
mean that the 2010 season would not have a salary cap limit and that a work
stoppage in 2011 would be imminent unless a new agreement is reached
beforehand.
Therefore,
long term deals are not necessarily in a rookie�s best interest at the present
time. Teams, on the other hand, would like to avoid doing short term rookie
deals as they could have adverse consequences down the road. These two
positions are not easily reconciled.
Another
potential complication in getting Davis
into camp on time is his agent, Todd France.
Four
years ago, France
locked up with the Dolphins over Ronnie Brown�s rookie contract. The stalemate resulted
in a damaging holdout for Brown that severely impacted his rookie season.
Admitted
Brown in regards to his 2005 holdout, �Unfortunately I missed camp and I think
that slowed me down a little bit�.
Actually,
it slowed him down a lot. Brown didn�t get rolling on offense until late
September, and was a part-timer for the rest of the season. In fact, if it
weren�t for Ricky Williams, the 2005 Dolphins (9-7) wouldn�t have finished
above .500.
Interestingly,
France
hasn�t had another first round client since that fiasco four seasons ago. Yet
he is back in 2009 with three first round clients, the highest being DE/LB
Larry English (#16, Chargers). No doubt France had to make some big
promises in order to sign English, Davis, and WR Kenny Britt (#30, Titans).
Now
he has to show them the money.
When
one considers the current lack of salary parameters, the looming CBA issue, and
France�s history with the
Dolphins, there�s concern that Davis
might be a holdout.
This
we know: the Dolphins cannot afford for Davis
to be tardy. They are thin at cornerback and are counting on him to help shore
up their secondary, perhaps even to start opposite Will Allen. This means that
he needs to be in camp, like yesterday, working on his conditioning and his learning.
As
is always the case with rookies, Davis
needs an abundance of both. He looked lost at times during coverage drills in
the recent OTAs. His conditioning also didn�t seem to be up to NFL and South Florida standards.
Neither
of these issues is uncommon with rookies, and both are correctable with hard
work under the supervision of Dolphin coaches. The Dolphins don�t want to waste
one minute in getting Davis,
the top rated corner in the draft, onto the field; he has all the tools to be a
good player for years to come.
Fortunately,
they hedged their bets by drafting Utah�s
Sean Smith with the second of the team's two second-round selections in the
2009 draft. Both he and Davis got some snaps with the first team defense during
the OTAs, which indicates that they feel good about where Smith is relative to Davis. Signed last week
to a reported 4 year, $3.1 million deal, Smith�s development will continue.
Davis, unsigned, remains
on hold.
This
is what happened to Brown in 2005. Yet if Brown made a rookie mistake, they
could just line up and run the next play. If Davis makes a mistake versus the likes of
Randy Moss or Terrell Owens, it�s six points for the other team.
This
is why history is against the success of rookie corners that are late to camp,
especially in today�s NFL; swimming in playbook terminology, thinking instead
of reacting, is a recipe for disaster.
Realistically,
a tardy Davis would
probably have to be relegated to playing strictly in spot situations and on special
teams for 2009. They simply couldn�t trust him with more.
This
is not what the Dolphins had in mind when they drafted him. Yet this is the
fate that likely waits if his contract situation isn�t settled, and soon.